FINANCIAL PLANNING : A Reality Check
Friday, 19 June 2009
SEBI’s latest ruling on mutual funds - its impact and after-effects
1. There would be no entry load on any mutual fund investment
2. Distributors would have to negotiate their commission with their investors
No arguments about the first point, it is of immense benefit to the investor. This will probably lead to a higher exit load which is good for investors since they would be incentivized to hold their investments long-term. A couple of years back when there was no entry load for SIPs, but was later withdrawn.
As far as the second point is concerned, I think it is a good move, but ahead of its time. The Indian investor is still not well informed in matters relating to investments and mutual funds. Besides, the penetration of mutual funds is rather low. Insofar as investor education is concerned, we have a long way to go before we can bring ourselves at par with the developed markets (whose systems and methods we are keen to emulate).
Though in the long-term the move will prove to be good for the financial planning industry and for the investor, it will have several short-term impacts that may be deterrent to the interests of the small investors, distributors as well as the mutual fund industry.
1. INVESTORS MAY END UP PAYING A HIGHER COMMISSION: On the commission issue, I foresee a lot of unnecessary bargaining happening between the distributor and the investor. In fact, distributors maybe charging a higher rate now -- say Rs 500 on Rs 5000 investment. Even if the investor bargains and brings it down by 50%, he would still be paying a much higher fee / load than was applicable earlier. Since a fair percentage of investors today are not even aware of the kind of commission the distributors get or that there is anything called an entry load, they might feel happy about the bargain. However, they could be paying a much higher percentage as commission.
2. COMMISSIONS MAY BE PAID IN CASH: Distributors may also charge commission in cash, leading to loss of both service tax (that the distributor would now be liable to pay) and as well as income tax to the government. Small amounts of commission – perhaps in the region of Rs 1000 or more may be passed on in cash to the distributor.
3. SIPs MAY SUFFER: SIPs or systematic investment plans may suffer since the investor may not be open to paying commission each month, or paying a lump sum at the beginning of the SIP term. So the distributor would probably stay away from recommending SIPs as lump sum investments are good and less hassle for him/her.
4. DISTRIBUTORS WILL FOCUS ON ULIPs: Distributors may start focusing more on ULIPs where there is low transparency regarding the commission going out to the agent. Since commissions are much higher in ULIPs, the obvious tendency for ‘sellers’ of both would be to maximize their revenue by proposing ULIPs and presenting them as mutual funds. Again, the small retail investor will lose out. As it is there is enough talk of ‘mis-selling’ of ULIPs.
5. EXPENSES TO INCREASE AFFECTING NAVs OF MUTUAL FUNDS: To get into more nitty-gritty of things, the charges are going to go up. One reason for this would be that mutual fund houses would probably work on higher trails and various marketing schemes to keep distributors happy (incidentally 90% of all business of mutual funds comes from distributors). Where would money for all this come from? From charges, which result in reduction of the NAV. Again who will suffer more? The small retail investor.
There is immense amount that SEBI and mutual fund houses can and need to do to increase investor awareness and grow the market. Ad hoc measures like this and an uneven playing field among various financial products would only lead to more confusion initially and consequent mis-selling by distributors. Unless tackled at a much broader level, the small and uninformed investor will continue to pay the price and will remain a small participant.
Tuesday, 2 June 2009
Financial Planning mantra #5
Each time a NFO hits the market you are bombarded with great flyers, posters, ads and presentations to convince you that this is the right time to invest. As an advisor, I have kept away from most ‘me-too’ NFOs. But I must humbly admit, in my initial days, I too failed to realize the ‘disguise’ in a few NFOs. Thankfully, I could not muster more than a handful of clients (some of whom themselves came forward) to invest in them, probably because somewhere in my mind I was not fully convinced. Today, three-and-a-half years and over 100 NFOs later I am a much wiser man. At all NFO-distributor meets, I pull out all stops to ask all wise and foolish questions. Because till the time I am fully convinced, I should not be taking it to my clients.
The only ‘plus’ point in any NFO is that ‘they do not carry any deadwood’ (as a friend of mine puts it).
Two major why investors fall for NFOs are:
- Most people equate a mutual fund ‘unit’ with that of a ‘share’ and consequently believe that a fund with a Rs 10 NAV is cheaper than that with a NAV of Rs 50. In mutual funds, there is no difference. In fact, a fund with a higher NAV is better, in the sense, it is more ‘experienced’. Of course, this cannot be applied as a blanket rule while choosing funds.
- Aggressive ‘selling’ (because of higher commission rates) by the banks (through ‘financial advisors’ and ‘relationship managers’) and individual distributors
Of late, I have noticed fund houses coming out with NFOs to shore up their AUMs (assets under management). Incoming money into equity funds had almost dried up from mid-2008 through the first few months of this year. With huge drop in share prices, the AUMs of all funds came down drastically. With sentiment improving, the last two months has seen fund houses ‘putting old wine in new bottle’ so that they can collect a few hundred or thousand crore (which would not happen under normal conditions).
The fund houses claim that the one of the purposes of a NFO is to grow the low base of retail investors (from 2%). But this logic is beyond my realm of understanding. If they really wanted more investors, they should focus more on their existing funds and show higher returns rather than just trying to mop up money in the name of growing the market. Look at it logically:
- Any one putting in money into an NFO would in all probability be an existing investor in mutual funds.
- A new investor (with no past experience in mutual funds) would come in only if he is made to believe that a Rs 10 NFO is cheaper. So he is made to start off on a false premise. It is not going to be long before he feels ‘cheated’ and vanishes forever.
Today NFOs have become a money mopping up exercise. Almost all kinds of permutation and combinations of funds are already there in the market (the only thing that is still not there is a ‘Silver ETF’).
A fund manager recently lamented that the size of the entire MF industry is less than one month’s of domestic savings. It is bound to be till fund managers and AMCs realize that the way to grow the size of this industry is to record higher and better performances of existing funds (thereby attracting fresh and new retail investors) and not by bringing out NFOs.
Monday, 18 May 2009
Sensex and NAVs
Nobody I know, managed to get his order through. So much for retail participation.
Till Friday, uncertainty loomed large. There was talk all around that the pre-election rally was headed for a correction and that the results on Saturday would cause the markets to slide once again. The discussions were centered around whether it would retest old lows of 8000 or would it slip to 10,000. All that vanished on Saturday morning. After a neck-to-neck race (in the early hours of counting), that dreadful feeling began to vanish. By late afternoon, there was a change in mood and the gloomy feeling was replaced by happiness. Social networking sites like Facebook and Twitter reflected the growing euphoria. Messages and comments, bouquets and brickbats poured in left, right and center. It was quite something to be a part of the ‘virtual world’, that day. Felt real!
Quite obviously all the pent up frustration was let loose on the markets today. For a change, I received quite a few calls from friends, relatives and clients. It was mostly - Should I sell my mutual funds now? / Are my investments back in the green, since markets have moved up 60%?
What we forget is when had we invested. Most people got in in 2007 and had their NAVs wiped out by 40-50% and in some cases by almost 80% by end 2008. So if your fund had a NAV of 12 when you invested, it crashed to 6. Now all mutual funds missed the up rally from 8000 to 12000. Technically, the market moved up by 50%, but NAVs moved by 20-25% only. So your NAV was only at 8. Where is the full recovery?
Another point to note is that there is actually no direct and perfect correlation between the Sensex (or Nifty) with your NAV. At best, it is a broad indicator of the direction (up or down). The composition (large/mid/small caps) of the fund will decide the quantum and direction of its movement. So there may be days when the Sensex and the NAV may move in opposite directions.
Investors should always remember that selling a mutual fund should not be based on what the Sensex is. It should depend on whether you have reached the goal / objective for which you have made the investment or a fixed percentage of return (which you had decided at the time of investing) has been achieved.
Wednesday, 1 April 2009
New Day. New (financial) year. New Horizons. New Hopes.
Thoughts (of new tidings) kept popping into my mind. Here are some of them that I would like to share with you:
• Access your money through all ATMs: No more waiting in queues (hopefully) at ATMs. From today I can walk into any ATM and withdraw money without being charged by my bank. This should have happened long ago. But better late than never. I could never digest the fact that I have to pay to withdraw my own money.
• Save money, buy the Nano: From today, the Nano would be displayed in all showrooms and later this year, the roads will be full of them (at least I hope for Tata’s sake considering the fact that the last financial must have been his worst ever in terms of luck).
• New government, new rays of hope: By the end of the current quarter, we should have a new government in place. And I hope it is a more ‘functioning’ government. Not a paralyzed one.
• Power to the youth: For millions of young people this election would be their first. I hope they all go out and exercise their right.
• New investments: Time to start fresh SIPs in ELSS (tax-saving) funds.
• Stock markets should start looking up: I think we have seen the worst in terms of the fall in the markets in 2008 - from 21000-odd levels in January to 7700-odd levels in October. This financial year is definitely going to be better. My personal feeling is that things should start looking better from Q3 / Q4 of FY10.
• My new initiatives: I have started some new initiatives to grow my business and I hope they will fructify this year. I hope to take a gigantic leap forward this financial year. Enough of blaming the markets. I will develop new and out-of-the-box ideas to tap fresh clientele.
• New Pension Scheme soon: The New Pension Scheme was supposed to have started from today. But now we will get to know more only in June after the elections are over. This will mark a big leap forward for the Indian financial markets. For investors, this is one scheme to look forward to.
It’s quite rightly termed as the new financial year, since all the things that begin today seem to be related to money and finance. Here’s wishing you a very prosperous new financial year!
Wednesday, 25 February 2009
The annual ritual of tax-saving
People often confuse tax-saving with financial planning (or rather, saving for a financially secure future). In reality, the two are quite unrelated. Tax-saving should fit into your overall, larger scheme of ensuring a financially secure future for yourself and your family. Therefore, investments in tax-saving instruments should never be undertaken haphazardly. These investments need to fit into your overall financial plan. In order to accomplish that, we need to pick tax-saving instruments with care. People rarely share the same perspective on tax-saving.
Common mistakes
Here are some common perceptions and mistakes of investors:
I. 80C Limit - Current policy = New policy: The most common ‘mistake’ is to take the prescribed limit (Rs 1 lakh currently), subtract current investments and put the balance into another insurance policy.
II. Buying the product closest at hand: If there is an insurance agent at hand, then the ‘flavor-of-the-season’ insurance plan is purchased. If the bank is close by, then all the money goes into Public Provident Fund. The least ‘hassle’ product gets the maximum attention.
III. No investment required: If, for example, the annual PF deduction is more than the limit of Rs 1 lakh, then in most cases, no fresh investment/saving is made.
IV. Buying without a thought: In the rush to get over with this ritual, most people just pick up anything with little or no thought and move on.
V. Last minute stampede: This is where most of the investors are trapped. Instead of making the investment during the year, most choose or are reduced to making the investment at the fag-end or (even) on the ‘last day’.
Avoiding the mistakes
Have you ever asked yourself - ‘Why do I work?’ The answer to this question is likely to be one of the following:
i. To be gainfully employed
ii. In order to be economically stable and to provide yourself and your family a financially secure future
What is the point of working so hard and putting in such long hours if at the end of the day you can’t have a financially secure future? It is crucial that one spends some time with a financial planner to decide the way ahead in terms of the investments. What one sows now in terms of the kind of investment will one reap in future.
A careful and studied analysis needs to be done before making any investment. It is not sufficient to just buy a product for the sake of fulfilling a requirement. Tax saving has to fulfill your overall goal of ensuring a financially secure future for you and your family.
Some crucial questions that must be answered before making the investment:
a. Have you looked at what you have purchased? (Most people I know cannot even remember the name of the insurance company or mutual fund whose product they have bought; and yet others have no idea about the kind of policy that they have purchased.)
b. Is this what you really need? Or is this just another blind investment in the myriad investments that you have accumulated over the years?
c. Is the compulsory saving (within the limit of Rs 1 lakh) enough to meet your financial goals? Have you spoken to an (unbiased) financial planner (as opposed to an agent who is selling you a product) to figure out what kind of returns you may get after 10 to 20 years? Take a look at the table below to get an idea about what your investments would be like 15 years from now if all the saving you made are those under Section 80C:
i. Time horizon - 15 years
ii. Inflation @5% p.a.
iii. Annual investment - Rs 1,00,000
Type of investor Expected return End-corpus
Conservative @ 6% p.a. Rs 16.04 lakh
Aggressive @ 10% p.a. Rs 21.19 lakh
Assuming that your objective was to utilize the investments you made each year for your retirement, is 21 lakh enough for you to meet your post-retirement expenses? Do a quick back-of-the-envelope calculation and figure out how many months the money will last?
This clearly brings to the fore the fact that saving just the Rs 1,00,000 per annum cannot make you financially secure. It simply saves you some tax. In the above example, we have not taken any other milestone/event – such as your own marriage, buying a house, education of your children, their marriage, family contingencies, etc. into account. Setting aside Rs 1 lakh a year certainly cannot help you achieve all these goals.
Tax-saving vs. financial planning
Most people believe that buying a tax-saving product is equivalent to financial planning. Products are purchased by the name like ‘XYZ Children’s Plan’ or ‘ABC Retirement Plan’. The investor buys the product and thinks that all will be well in future. But there is much more to planning for the future than just buying a product. Just as in financial planning proper asset allocation and the dynamic management of the portfolio in tune with the changing of goals and objectives is a necessity, so it is in the case of tax-saving investments. In most cases, tax-saving products are haphazardly purchased every year or the entire limit is exhausted by putting the money in a single product. This is not a good approach since these are supposed to result in long-term benefits. But since the whole exercise is without any planning it is most likely not to give the desired results. Hence it is of utmost importance that there is a well-planned and analyzed decision before investments are made.
Where a Financial Planner can make a difference
Financial planning is still a nascent concept in India. Today most financial products – such as insurance, mutual funds, fixed deposits etc – are being bought and sold without the slightest of care and concern about the future. The presence of an agent with a glossy presentation and flashy numbers is enough to convince any investor, with scant regard for what these investments would actually fetch him/her 10-15 years from now.
This is where a financial planner can and should step in. He/she is there to sell a lifestyle and not a single product. His/her knowledge and acumen is bound to make a huge difference in approaching the subject of financial security and in providing an appropriate solution. His or her interest lies in providing proper long-term financial planning, thereby making the investor look at the ‘big picture’ instead of having a narrow and short-term outlook. A thorough analysis should be done of the current holdings and objectives that are to be met by making these investments. And based on these considerations, the financial planner must recommend a product that is suitable for his/her client.
In short, investments should be towards achieving a certain objective, with a tax-break thrown in. The goal should be to maximize your post-tax income since there is a limit to saving tax.
Tuesday, 23 September 2008
Luring distributors to overcome the market downturn
In the last month or two, there have been a few mutual funds that have launched insurance-linked products. The reason – the markets are down and so are the investments into equity mutual funds. So how does one entice the investor? Spice it up with insurance. Suddenly there is a huge surge of applications into equity funds.
Now you may ask the reason why? What has the linking of insurance got to do with sudden upsurge in the number of applications? Well, the distributors are being lured with ‘exciting guaranteed gifts’ ranging from movie tickets to a kilo of gold, bikes and even a trip abroad. All that he has to do is to bring in as many applications as he can. And what are the distributors doing to win the race – if you want to invest Rs 5,000 in a mutual fund, he will convince you to sign 5 forms. Then he will fill in the forms for you and submit 5 applications. The terms and conditions in fine print are not even mentioned, forget being evaluated and compared.
Being a distributor myself, I am appalled to see fellow distributors and sales managers of mutual funds running against time to ‘log in’ applications. I am not against marketing, but this is pure self-gratification. The investor’s interest is the last thing on the distributor’s and sales manager’s mind. Both are simply trying to achieve targets at the expense of the poor investor. Knee-jerk reactions like this to increase AUMs (assets under management) will increase mis-selling and kill investor interest.
Are we here to advise on mutual fund investments or is it just another ‘grand sale at a shopping mall’? I wish that the authorities realize what is going on and put an end to this ‘gift mania’ before it gets out of hand.
Monday, 21 July 2008
Inflation and its impact on our investments
Price rise or inflation is a ‘silent killer’ of our investments. The return you get must be higher than the inflation rate for your investments to serve their real purpose.
Inflation is a hot topic of discussion these days. Newspapers and TV channels are full of reports that talk about how inflation, or price rise, is affecting the lives of Indians. Every week, the inflation numbers are more eagerly awaited and discussed than the Friday’s film release.
So what is inflation? And how does in impact us in the long run?
We have all heard stories of their good old days from our parents and grandparents tell us about how you could get a litre of milk in twenty five naya paisa and eat a meal out for Rs 5; how movie tickets used to cost 50 paise and more recently how with one hundred rupees of petrol in your car you could drive to office and back for a week.
“Look how times have changed. Things are so costly now,” they tell us. In layman language, this is inflation. It is nothing new. And yes, it is reflected in the prices of all items we buy.
But let’s look at it from another angle – inflation suggests that the purchasing power of money has come down. In short, for example the Rs 100 that could get us to office and back has probably become Rs 1000 today. In order to get the same service or product we have to pay 10 times more now.
This is one truth that most of us don’t budget for while planning for our future.
Inflation is a ‘silent killer’ of the investments that we are making today. A client of mine had purchased an insurance plan wherein after paying Rs 12,000 p.a. for 10 years, he was ‘promised’ a return of Rs 1,50,000 after 10 years. Looks good on the face of it? But look at the return that you are getting after an investment of 10 years – 6-odd percent per annum, which is lower than the inflation rate. So in reality your money at that time will not even allow you to purchase what it can, today. A sheer loss and a waste of time and opportunity!
Let’s take two examples and look into the future:
Assumption – you are 30 years old today and inflation rate is 10% p.a.
- If your monthly household expenses are Rs 30,000 today: at age 45 you would need Rs 1,25,000 to meet these same expenses.
- Rs 10,00,000 today would be worth Rs 2,05,000 by the time you are 45.
Whenever we buy products like insurance or invest in mutual funds or PPF, etc. with the purpose of achieving a financial goal, we must always take into account the impact of inflation on our end-corpus. It is definitely not going to be worth what the numbers today indicate. It is imperative that the return on our investments beats inflation in the long-run. Only then will we be able to meet our future requirements.
So the next time your ‘advisor’ tells you that so-and-so policy will get you Rs 1 crore in 25 years, do ask him what that Rs 1 crore will be worth then.
Saturday, 14 June 2008
An introduction to financial planning
Here’s a lowdown on financial planning and how it can help you lead a life of your dreams.
Welcome to my first blog. Let me begin by introducing myself, my firm - Knowledge Partners - and our philosophy. I am an Associate Financial Planner and have also done my PGCBM from XLRI, Jamshedpur. In 2005, I moved to Gurgaon after spending 14 years in equity research, media and marketing at various firms in Bombay & Calcutta. Numbers always intrigued me. So did various financial instruments. But I also saw how people all around me were getting mislead by so-called ‘advisors’ and ‘agents’. While everyone wants a financially secure future, most people were either unaware or confused as to where and how to start. The result - decisions got indefinitely postponed; or wrong products were bought based on misinformation.
That’s what reinforced my decision to start my own financial advisory. And in 2006, Knowledge Partners took shape.
Financial Planning, as a concept, is still quite new to India. Traditionally, financial advice in Indian homes (invariably) comes from a family elder - who is, more often than not, heavily under influence of an insurance agent or a family friend.
Often, agents and advisors give you an improper advice so that they can make a quick buck. They often sell you a insurance policy or a mutual fund that gives them the highest commission or brokerage.
At Knowledge Partners, we believe in having a long-term relationship with all our clients and advise them to buy financial products they actually need. Our endeavor is to be a partner of our clients till the time they achieve their financial goals.
Have you planned your financial future?
You can get answers to this question by answering these simple questions:
· Have you started planning for your retirement?
· Have you wondering how to plan for retirement, children’s education and marriage in the face of rising inflation?
· Do numbers boggle you?
· Are your savings fetching you sufficient returns?
· Have you ever thought as to how many years you can maintain your current lifestyle if you were to take a sabbatical / retire?
· Is your money lying ‘idle’ in your savings/current bank account – would you not like to earn more than the meager 3.5%?
· Most of us limit our investments to tax saving instruments – or the amount that is to be covered under section 80C. But is that enough to meet all your future expenses? Will that create a sufficient corpus?
If these are some of the questions that are bogging you down, Knowledge Partners could be of help. We are a Gurgaon-based firm offering fee-based services in the area of financial planning having a clientèle in the Delhi-NCR region, primarily, and also in Bombay and Calcutta.
How do we go about it?
Our investment process begins with you. We perform a careful assessment of your individual needs and aspirations, and our evaluation is based on:
· Goals and objectives,
· Investment time horizon,
· Liquidity needs,
· Desired rate of return, and
· Tolerance for risk
The result is a complete understanding of your personal profile that will serve as the foundation for defining a long-term investment strategy tailored to your specific needs and preferences and not just catering to your ‘tax planning’ requirements u/s 80C.
Our philosophy is designed to achieve long-term investment goals, and is based on the following core principles:
1. Identify Your Unique Needs, Goals and Objectives
2. Build an Asset Allocation Roadmap
3. Formulate a Plan & Portfolio Selection
4. Continuous Portfolio Monitoring
We educate our clients so that with time they are more focused to achieve their goals and objectives with the help of their financial advisor, rather than by relying blindly on the latter.
Our fee-based approach is designed to eliminate conflicts of interest and results in unbiased and honest advice.
Money isn’t everything, but having control and confidence about how you are managing it can allow you to concentrate on other things like your family, your career, and your future. We believe that all your dreams are achievable and we look to partnering you so that you can live your dreams!